Activity based travel demand forecasting

This research project aims to update and improve the microscopic activity-based demand model developed and maintained by Swiss Federal Railways.

Specifically the research intends to address the following questions:

1. Ownership of mobility instruments: Which metrics and specifications can be added to the current model, in order to improve its ability to forecast mid-and long-term ownership of mobility instruments? More specifically, how can the notion of accessibility be integrated to the current model to capture more complex mode interactions?

2. Mode choice model: Can a tour-based approach be used to model mode choice? In addition, how can the processes to estimate destination and mode choice (currently nested) be combined to generate results that are consistent with observed mobility behaviors at different time horizons (short, mid, and long-term)?

3. Tour and activity generation: How can the generation of tours and activity patterns be combined to allow modelling of joint decisions?

Principal investigator Prof. Michel Bierlaire
Project manager Tim Hillel
Period 2019-20
Laboratory TRANSP-OR