Forecasting of stochastic resources

Forecasting
 
Modern control techniques for power distribution systems and microgrids rely on predictive frameworks exploiting the forecast of stochastic resources at time scales ranging from several minutes to seconds. This research subject focuses on the development of machine-learning-based techniques for the ultra short term forecasting of both renewable energy resources as well as heterogeneous loads with small level of aggregation.
 

Coordinating Distributed Energy Resources and Utility-Scale Battery Energy Storage System for Power Flexibility Provision Under Uncertainty

M. Kalantar Neyestanaki; R. Cherkaoui 

IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy. 2021-03-26. DOI : 10.1109/TSTE.2021.3068630.

Countrywide PV hosting capacity and energy storage requirements for distribution networks: The case of Switzerland

R. Gupta; F. Sossan; M. Paolone 

Applied Energy. 2020-10-28. Vol. 281, p. 116010. DOI : 10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.116010.

Grid-aware distributed control of electric vehicle charging stations in active distribution grids

S. A. S. Fahmy; R. K. Gupta; M. Paolone 

Electric Power Systems Research. 2020-08-15. Vol. 189, num. December 2020, p. 106697. DOI : 10.1016/j.epsr.2020.106697.

Performance Assessment of Linearized OPF-based Distributed Real-time Predictive Control

R. Guptal; F. Sossan; M. Paolone 

2019-08-26. 2019 IEEE Milan PowerTech, Milan, June 23-27, 2019. p. 1-6. DOI : 10.1109/PTC.2019.8810532.

Solar irradiance estimations for modeling the variability of photovoltaic generation and assessing violations of grid constraints: A comparison between satellite and pyranometers measurements with load flow simulations

F. Sossan; E. Scolari; R. K. Gupta; M. Paolone 

Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy. 2019-10-01. Vol. 11, num. 5, p. 056103. DOI : 10.1063/1.5109076.

Dispatch and Primary Frequency Control with Electrochemical Storage: a System-wise Verification

Y. Zuo; F. Sossan; M. Bozorg; M. Paolone 

2018-01-01. IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference Europe (ISGT-Europe), Sarajevo, BOSNIA & HERCEG, Oct 21-25, 2018. DOI : 10.1109/ISGTEurope.2018.8571832.

Experimental Assessment of the Prediction Performance of Dynamic Equivalent Circuit Models of Grid-connected Battery Energy Storage Systems

E. Namor; F. Sossan; E. Scolari; R. Cherkaoui; M. Paolone 

2018-01-01. IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference Europe (ISGT-Europe), Sarajevo, BOSNIA & HERCEG, Oct 21-25, 2018. DOI : 10.1109/ISGTEurope.2018.8571787.

Modelling and Forecasting of Photovoltaic Generation for Microgrid Applications: from Theory to Validation

E. Scolari / M. Paolone; A. Oudalov (Dir.)  

Lausanne, EPFL, 2019. 

Local estimation of the global horizontal irradiance using an all-sky camera

E. Scolari; F. Sossan; M. Haure-Touze; M. Paolone 

Solar Energy. 2018-10-01. Vol. 173, p. 1225-1235. DOI : 10.1016/j.solener.2018.08.042.

An ADMM-based Coordination and Control Strategy for PV and Storage to Dispatch Stochastic Prosumers: Theory and Experimental Validation

R. Gupta; F. Sossan; E. Scolari; E. Namor; L. Fabietti et al. 

2018-01-01. Power Systems Computation Conference (PSCC), Dublin, IRELAND, Jun 11-15, 2018. DOI : 10.23919/PSCC.2018.8450879.