Publications

2026

From leaf veins to bus lanes: Emerging simplicity in complex spatial systems

G. Manoli 

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2026. Vol. 123, num. 36. DOI : 10.1073/pnas.2622915123.

Urban tree canopy fragmentation and child mortality in low- and middle-income countries

D. Chi; D. R. Richards; G. Manoli; J. Yang; J. S. Ji et al. 

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2026. Vol. 123, num. 34. DOI : 10.1073/pnas.2606669123.

The cooling effect of urban green spaces in a future climate: projections for three Swiss cities

Y. Yin; F. Liu; G. Manoli; L. M. Cook 

Climate Services. 2026. Vol. 43, p. 100700. DOI : 10.1016/j.cliser.2026.100700.

Singapore Water Budget: The Past, the Present, and the Future

Y. L. Xu; N. Meili; M. Chen; J. Ren; S. S. Mahto et al. 

Water Resources Research. 2026. Vol. 62, num. 8. DOI : 10.1029/2025wr041411.

Modelling human activities in a system of cities

G-S. Lin; D. Hertwig; M. McGrory; T. Ma; S. T. Smith et al. 

Proceedings of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Science. 2026. Vol. 482, num. 2341. DOI : 10.1098/rspa.2026.0067.

Rethinking urban forests as essential infrastructure for resilience, equity, and biodiversity in the current climate emergency

M. Esperon-Rodriguez; R. V. Gallagher; S. Arndt; M. O. Asibey; B. A. Augustinus et al. 

PLOS Climate. 2026. Vol. 5, num. 7. DOI : 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000953.

Divergent Heat Assessments Across Thermal Stress and Sensation Metrics

X. Huang; Q. Kong; M. Huber; M. Nikolopoulou; Z. Wang et al. 

Earth’s Future. 2026. Vol. 14, num. 7. DOI : 10.1029/2026ef008395.

Dynamic roughening of cities driven by multiplicative noise

M. Hendrick; G. Manoli 

Nature Communications. 2026. DOI : 10.1038/s41467-026-74456-4.

Scaling intra-urban climate fluctuations

M. Duran-Sala; M. Hendrick; G. Manoli 

Nature Cities. 2026. DOI : 10.1038/s44284-026-00441-z.

From the Swiss Alps to the Pyrenees: Evaluating the transferability of machine learning models for avalanche forecasting

C. C. Pérez-Guillén; M. Bacardit; M. Hendrick; K. Müller 

Cold Regions Science and Technology. 2026. Vol. 246. DOI : 10.1016/j.coldregions.2026.104884.

The effect of climate on current and future urban vegetation outdoor surface cooling during periods of extreme heat

G. D. Jenerette; P. C. Ibsen; D. Kucera; S. L. Harlan; A. Brandi et al. 

Environmental Research Letters. 2026. Vol. 21, num. 10, p. 104022. DOI : 10.1088/1748-9326/ae5266.

Cost-effectiveness of blue-green infrastructure strategies for urban heat mitigation

Y. Yin; G. Manoli; L. Cook 

2026. EGU26, the 26th EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, and online, 2026-05-03 – 2026-05-08. DOI : 10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16259.

Lake-land interactions in complex terrain

A. Brandi; G. Manoli; A. I. Rahaghi; A. Zonato 

2026. EGU26, the 26th EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, and online, 2026-05-03 – 2026-05-08. DOI : 10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9935.

Challenges in Multivariate Bias Correction of Convection-Permitting Climate Models for Urban Microclimate Applications

F. Liu; Y. Yin; L. M. Cook 

2026. EGU26, the 26th EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, and online, 2026-05-03 – 2026-05-08. DOI : 10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18164.

Simulation of the cooling effect of a lightweight vegetated structure

G. Manoli; A. Brandi; J. Varupenne; S. Suzuki; M. Vonlanthen et al. 

2026. EGU26, the 26th EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, and online, 2026-05-03 – 2026-05-08. DOI : 10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18535.

Tree canopy configuration and Swiss adult mortality at the municipal level: A nationwide ecological study

D. Chi; G. Manoli; J. Yang; D. R. Richards; A. K. Hahs et al. 

Environment International. 2026. Vol. 209. DOI : 10.1016/j.envint.2026.110188.

Dataset: Modelling human activities in a system of cities

G-S. Lin; G. Manoli 

2026.

Hourly Urban Air Temperature Forecasting with Graph Machine Learning

C. Roger; M. Hendrick; M. Burger; N. Peleg; S. Fatichi et al. 

ARC Geophysical Research. 2026. DOI : 10.5149/arc-gr.1967.

2025

Influence of urban form and function on daytime-nighttime population differences and hazard risk assessments

Y. Zhu; J. Wang; G. Manoli; Y. Zhang; D. Chi et al. 

npj Urban Sustainability. 2025. Vol. 5, num. 1. DOI : 10.1038/s42949-025-00282-0.

Urbanization effects on lake–land circulations in complex terrain

A. Brandi; A. I. Rahaghi; A. Zonato; G. Manoli 

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2025. Vol. 383, num. 2308. DOI : 10.1098/rsta.2024.0576.